Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.175864 0.201050 0.229231 0.263219 0.303262 0.349131 0.405928
2025-11-16 0.133729 0.166126 0.206111 0.259614 0.330125 0.420989 0.548759
2025-11-23 0.109274 0.143820 0.189508 0.255415 0.349818 0.482938 0.689946
2025-11-30 0.096190 0.132623 0.183593 0.261846 0.382132 0.565531 0.877494
2025-12-07 0.083718 0.119755 0.172485 0.257640 0.396399 0.622360 1.037680
2025-12-14 0.075363 0.111384 0.166249 0.259011 0.418501 0.694746 1.241586
2025-12-21 0.068296 0.103867 0.159995 0.258855 0.437289 0.764373 1.458522
2025-12-28 0.063651 0.099475 0.157948 0.265105 0.467964 0.861449 1.757797
2026-01-04 0.059246 0.094879 0.154842 0.268775 0.494166 0.955134 2.078705
2026-01-11 0.055453 0.090836 0.152092 0.272505 0.520897 1.055536 2.448296
2026-01-18 0.052619 0.088103 0.151260 0.279632 0.555710 1.181388 2.926751
2026-01-25 0.049296 0.084131 0.147653 0.280640 0.577484 1.282350 3.376626
2026-02-01 0.046063 0.080066 0.143539 0.280289 0.596886 1.384325 3.878081
2026-02-08 0.042950 0.075936 0.138861 0.278135 0.611922 1.479869 4.405279
2026-02-15 0.039949 0.071726 0.133559 0.273841 0.620989 1.562068 4.927937
2026-02-22 0.038372 0.070121 0.133320 0.280861 0.659890 1.739265 5.885811
2026-03-01 0.035868 0.066445 0.128397 0.276302 0.667660 1.826885 6.546919
2026-03-08 0.034123 0.064146 0.126143 0.277791 0.692215 1.974332 7.547537
2026-03-15 0.032394 0.061725 0.123373 0.277621 0.712172 2.113433 8.603446
2026-03-22 0.031338 0.060614 0.123366 0.284407 0.753936 2.341364 10.257018
2026-03-29 0.030148 0.059116 0.122330 0.288392 0.788252 2.555182 12.013150
2026-04-05 0.029046 0.057713 0.121367 0.292443 0.823827 2.787423 14.083350
2026-04-12 0.028250 0.056912 0.121730 0.300186 0.873371 3.095382 16.934575